The Week 12 bets to avoid

Image: (AP)

This Sunday night spread is the second largest of the week and for good reason: the Bears don’t do well in primetime. Still, 9.5 points is a lot to cough up in a divisional game.

Despite Chicago’s struggles after dark, they’re 5-5 ATS. Green Bay isn’t much better at 6-4 ATS. Plus, the forecast at Lambeau looks just a little nippy, not exactly a throwers paradise for Aaron Rodgers and Mitch Trubisky. The spread may come down to who you like defensively. Khalil Mack and the Bears rank near the top of the league in team defense. Still, do you really want to put your money on the Chicago Bears in 2020?

If you can’t resist…

We’ve reached the point in the slideshow where I’ve told you all the reasons to avoid betting the ugliest spreads of the week, but now I’ll give you my picks.

I know. It doesn’t make a lot of sense. But we’re 11 weeks through the NFL season and I’m picking winners. These Sundays aren’t as scary as I thought.

Here’s who I like in week 12

  • New York is coming off a bye. Take the Giants. It feels weird to say, but I like NY to win by double digits.
  • I saw Hinton towards the end of his Wake Forest tenure. He was a great receiver. I’m rooting for him but I have no idea what to expect. Lay the points, take the team you know. Saints by a lot.
  • Arizona is coming off a little extra rest after visiting Seattle last week. I like the Cardinals to cover and Kingsbury to beat his old coach.
  • I really… really… really… feel like I will regret this. But 9.5 is a LOT of points. So I’ll take ‘em with Chicago. The Bears can’t suck in primetime forever…right? 

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